The Market is on Vacation

Well, sometimes you just have to allow the market to have rest.  Right now we’re seeing a lot of churning and many stocks exhibiting neutral or nondescript OVI readings.  That’s fine … the market is simply telling us it’s on vacation.  This is to be expected at this time of year, particularly after earnings season, but there are still some interesting observations we can make.  

SPY
Choppy and undecided. Notice the two Doji bars that led to sharp reversals.  

spy 2012.07.19.jpg

QQQ
Similar to the SPY.  No real clarity of pattern here, though the OVI is more negative.  

qqq 2012.07.19.jpg

GS
I noticed this a couple of weeks ago – someone’s getting interested in GS, so I wouldn’t be surprised if things are improving behind the scenes.  Look for signs of a chart pattern forming, could be interesting once the LIBOR fixing scandal has passed, assuming GS isn’t implicated.  

gs 2012.07.19.jpg

HPQ
Still looking weak.  Look at the correlation of the downtrend and the negative OVI.  

hpq 2012.07.19.jpg

MCD
Nice bull flag pattern and a positive spike with the OVI.  

mcd 2012.07.19.jpg

MRK 
I’ve been onto this for a while now too.  The OVI spikes positively at the beginning of June, since which time the price is up 13%. 

mrk 2012.07.19.jpg

RIMM
When will the pain end for RIMM?  As with most of 2011, look at the correlation between the negative OVI and the downtrend of this stock.  

rimm 2012.07.19.jpg

VZ
Steady as she goes … I’ve been advocating VZ for a while now.  She won’t make you millions but a solid performer.  

vz 2012.07.19.jpg

All the best

Guy Cohen 

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